生態模式之發展與運用已為現今生態研究中不可或缺之一部份.合適之模式不僅可用於知識之整合,亦可用於長期變動之預測與決策制訂之上.

本課程之主要目標乃在教授學生森林生態模擬與分析方法,使學生熟習如何使用模式發展軟體發展生態模式.本課程將涵誘U列主題:模擬與模式之基本概念,生態模式之重要性與用途,生態模式之種類,模式模擬與分析方法,運用模式發展生態模式.本課程將要求修習之學生於學期末發展一簡單之生態模式.

Introduction to Ecological Modeling
Modeling and Reality
Basic Concepts in Ecological Modeling
Types of Ecological Models
Review of Probability,Statistical Methods and Computation
Techniques
Conceptual and Process Modeling
Empirical Modeling
Analysis of Models: Structural Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis Cases Study: Forest Growth Models, Forest Succession Models, and Forest Ecosystem.

參考書:
(1) Oliver, C., and B. C. Larson. 1996. Forest Stand Dynamics.
Update Edition. John Wiely, New York, New York.
(2) Jorgensen, S. E. 1993. Fundamentals of Ecological Modeling.
2nd ed. Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
(3) Botkin, D. B. 1993. Forest Dynamics: An Ecological Model.
Oxford University Press, New York, New York.
(4) May, R. (editor). 1981. Theoretical Ecology. 2nd ed.
Sinauer Associates, Suderland, MA.

評 分：學期計畫 100%